There is a saying that smooth seas do not make skillful sailors. When it comes to investing, at no time has this been more true than during the first half of the year. Investors faced major events including the war in Iran, oil prices pushing inflation to multi-year highs, and questions around artificial intelligence (AI). And yet, markets have climbed to new all-time highs, corporate earnings have grown at a double-digit pace, and many asset classes have performed well. The first six months have been a reminder of the importance of staying invested and maintaining a longer time horizon.
Alan Greenspan once said "since I've become a central banker, I have learned to mumble with great incoherence." Greenspan, who passed away recently at the age of 100, served as the Chair of the Federal Reserve from 1987 to 2006 and became one of the most influential economic figures of the 20th century.1 As we reflect on his legacy just days after Kevin Warsh chaired his first Fed meeting, the parallels between the two leaders highlight several changes in how the Fed might operate in the coming years.
The U.S. and Iran announced a preliminary agreement intended to end the four-month conflict that has weighed on the global economy. Financial markets have reacted positively to this development, with the stock market climbing, oil prices falling, and interest rates declining. How should investors interpret this agreement and what does it mean for portfolios?
The stock market has experienced historically strong returns over the past quarter, so the latest episode of volatility may raise questions among investors. The Nasdaq experienced its largest single-day fall in a year, with the index declining 4.2% on Friday, June 5.
For many people, the wealth they have accumulated over a lifetime is more than just about money. It represents years of hard work, discipline, and sacrifice to ensure they can have a comfortable retirement, take care of their families, and more. Yet, one of the most important and often overlooked questions in financial planning is not how to grow wealth, or even how to spend it, but how to pass it on efficiently and intentionally. This requires thoughtful estate planning that covers a breadth of financial planning topics including taxes, goals, and the concept of legacy.
Rainer Wealth Management
390 Diablo Road, Suite 202 | Danville, Ca 94526 | (925) 217-4280
